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Championship header 2

League Two
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Crewe Alexandra

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Crewe

Holohan (13'), Orsi (82')
Khan (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mellor (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tranmere 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

 Grimsby have a fantastic recent record against Crewe, and while they have not been at their best in recent times, they have lost just one of their last eight home games in the league. As such, we expect the Mariners to run out narrow victors in a result that will move them up into the top half of the League Two table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
52.3% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 26.29% (0.0039999999999978 0) 21.41% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)79.17% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.86% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)56.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)42.83% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)79.14% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 52.29%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.41%
    Draw 26.29%
Grimsby TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 14.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Crewe

Grimsby Town
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Crewe Alexandra
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
gameweek 30
Crewe
0-3
Grimsby Town
McAtee (3'), Lloyd (31'), Dickson-Peters (84')
Green (73')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
4-0
Crewe
Waterfall (13'), Green (34'), Smith (56'), Wearne (86')
Amos (3')

Mellor (65')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
gameweek 45
Crewe
P-P
Grimsby Town
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 7
Grimsby Town
0-2
Crewe

Hanson (49')
Lowery (46'), Kirk (91')
Powell (62'), Kirk (92')
May 4, 2019 3pm
gameweek 46
Grimsby Town
2-0
Crewe
Davis (26'), Grayson (34')
Wright (62')

Sass-Davies (12'), Ng (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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