Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Gil Vicente |
33.77% (![]() | 24.66% (![]() | 41.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.45% (![]() | 44.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.08% (![]() | 66.91% (![]() |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% (![]() | 25.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.56% (![]() | 60.44% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.52% (![]() | 21.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.49% (![]() | 54.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 7.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 11.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.45% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |