Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 60.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.