Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.