Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
42.43% (![]() | 25.51% (![]() | 32.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% (![]() | 48.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% (![]() | 70.95% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.09% (![]() | 22.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.33% (![]() | 56.67% (![]() |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% (![]() | 28.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.43% (![]() | 64.57% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 12.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.58% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |