Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 70.05%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.