MX23RW : Friday, December 27 03:19:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
4 - 1
Mazatlan

Baeza (37'), Meneses (61', 86'), Volpi (90+6' pen.)
Baeza (10'), Garcia (14'), Huerta (33'), Belmonte (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Montano (16' pen.)
Colula (30'), Intriago (44')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Toluca
Saturday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 13 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawMazatlan
60.14% (0.114 0.11) 20.22% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 19.64% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.69% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.39% (0.049999999999997 0.05)35.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.34% (0.055 0.05)57.66% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.44% (0.047999999999988 0.05)11.56% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (0.1 0.1)36.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)31.38% (0.046000000000003 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-0.052 -0.05)67.75% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 60.14%
    Mazatlan 19.64%
    Draw 20.22%
TolucaDrawMazatlan
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.44% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.07% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.8% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 60.14%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.22%
1-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 19.64%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 1.06am
Gameweek 17
Mazatlan
1-0
Toluca
Intriago (68')

Mosquera (90+4')
Mar 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 11
Toluca
4-1
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (25'), Lopez (45+5'), Araujo (48'), Sanvezzo (83')
Benedetti (38')
Sep 17, 2022 3am
Jan 22, 2022 3am
Gameweek 3
Mazatlan
1-2
Toluca
Bello (29')
Moreno (56'), Vidrio (90+5')
Sosa (73')
Canelo (69'), Fernandez (80' pen.)
Baeza (3'), Ortega (17')
Aug 17, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 5
Toluca
2-2
Mazatlan
Gonzalez (9'), Sambueza (38' pen.)
Barbieri (45+3')
Sanvezzo (32'), Emilio Sanchez Castillo (44')
Freitas (58'), Diaz (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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