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Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 10pm UK
Robertson Stadium
LA Galaxy

Houston
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Ferreira (8')
Parker (78'), Rodriguez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Puig (31'), Hernandez (32'), Joveljic (69')
Hernandez (17'), Araujo (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Houston
Monday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 0-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

 Galaxy will be too strong for Dynamo in the end, and the desire to get that first round home game will propel them over the line in rather comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
32.93% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15) 23.28% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 43.79% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 63.19% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.78% (-0.119 -0.12)38.21% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.51% (-0.125 -0.13)60.49% (0.125 0.13)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95% (-0.143 -0.14)23.05% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)56.88% (0.208 0.21)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)17.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.014000000000003 0.01)48.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 32.93%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 43.79%
    Draw 23.28%
Houston DynamoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.93%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.14% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.51% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 43.79%

How you voted: Houston vs LA Galaxy

Houston Dynamo
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
80.0%
5
Head to Head
May 23, 2022 1am
LA Galaxy
0-3
Houston

DePuy (65')
Ferreira (11'), Pasher (58'), Ulfarsson (62')
Rodriguez (16'), Ulfarsson (62'), Avila (80'), Hadebe (86')
Oct 21, 2021 1.30am
Houston
0-3
LA Galaxy

Figueroa (37')
Kljestan (39' pen.), Valentin (45+1' og.), Cabral (47')
Hernandez (9'), Araujo (11'), DePuy (84')
Sep 16, 2021 3.30am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Hernandez (61')
dos Santos (69')
Picault (13')
Vera (51'), Ceren (65'), Valentin (80'), Quintero (86'), Garcia (90+4')
Jul 24, 2020 1am
LA Galaxy
1-1
Houston
Pavon (90+1' pen.)
Steres (84')
Quintero (17')
Struna (45+3'), Quintero (59'), Garcia (70')
Apr 26, 2020 3.30am
LA Galaxy
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
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Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
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13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
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