Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 52.24%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.