Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chicago Fire in this match.