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Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 25, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Sassuolo logo

Napoli
2 - 0
Sassuolo

Hysaj (8'), Allan (90+3')
Mertens (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Berardi (40'), Duricic (68'), Santos (74')

Preview: Napoli vs. Sassuolo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A fixture between Napoli and Sassuolo, including team news and predicted lineups.

Napoli play host to Sassuolo on Saturday evening looking for the victory which will keep them in the hunt for a top-six spot in the Serie A table.

Meanwhile, after three games without success, the visitors are focused on trying to hold onto eighth position until the end of the campaign.


Match preview

AC Milan manager Gennaro Gattuso watches on during his side's Europa League clash with Real Betis on November 8, 2018© Reuters

Having earned a thrilling 3-3 draw with Juventus earlier this month, Sassuolo would have hoped to build on that result in a bid to earn a spot in Europe next season.

However, recording just two points from their last three fixtures has left Roberto De Zerbi's team out of the running, instead needing to focus on retaining their grip of eighth spot.

Only seven points separate Sassuolo to 14th-placed Sampdoria, highlighting that they can ill-afford to take their foot off the gas over the next 10 days.

Aside from failing to defeat 10-man Cagliari at the weekend, there has been little indication that I Neroverdi will not be able to claim at least one victory from a closing triple-header against Napoli, Genoa and Udinese.

While Napoli sit just one place above the visitors, Gennaro Gattuso and his players have ambitions to end the season in fifth position.

Although a Europa League spot has already been secured via the Coppa Italia route, Gattuso will want to finish the campaign on a high after one of the club's worst years in Serie A in recent memory.

If reports are to be believed, there will be a significant overhaul with regards to players, while Victor Osimhen is on course to strengthen the team's attack.

However, after only recording a draw at Bologna and losing to Parma, Napoli require some momentum to show their rivals that they can contend for the Champions League places over the next 12 months.

Napoli Serie A form: WWDDWL

Sassuolo Serie A form: WWWDDL


Team News

Arkadiusz Milik pictured for Napoli in December 2019© Reuters

Arkadiusz Milik is expected to return to the Napoli starting lineup after serving a one-match ban.

Hirving Lozano may drop down to the substitutes' bench, while Jose Callejon could get the nod over Matteo Politano.

Having remained as an unused substitute in the last game, Dries Mertens is also in contention for a recall.

After his dismissal against AC Milan, Mehdi Bourabia is missing for the visitors.

Veteran Francesco Magnanelli may be named as the Moroccan's replacement in the centre of the pitch.

Having lasted just 22 minutes after being introduced as a substitute in the same match, Jeremie Boga is expected to be unavailable.

Napoli possible starting lineup:
Meret; Lorenzo, Maksimovic, Koulibaly, Rui; Ruiz, Demme, Allan; Callejon, Milik, Insigne

Sassuolo possible starting lineup:
Consigli; Muldur, Santos, Peluso, Rogerio; , Magnanelli, Locatelli; Berardi, Raspadori, Haraslin; Caputo


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Napoli 2-1 Sassuolo

Gattuso will be determined for his first season at Napoli not to end in a damp squib, and this feels like an opportunity to get the club back on track. Although Sassuolo have shown recently that they have the quality to trouble their hosts, they will require a much-improved display to return to winning ways.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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