National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium
Bath City3 - 1Braintree
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Braintree Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Farnborough Town | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Bath City | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Welling United | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Last Game: Braintree 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Braintree Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Dover Athletic | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Braintree Town |
43.61% ( -0.02) | 26.9% ( -0.02) | 29.49% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.44% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
