MX23RW : Monday, February 3 13:37:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ebbsfleet United
National League South | Gameweek 17
Jan 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 0
Chelmsford City

Bingham (27'), O'Neill (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
57.36% (-1.322 -1.32) 22.31% (0.358 0.36) 20.33% (0.959 0.96)
Both teams to score 54.49% (0.408 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.7% (-0.235 -0.23)44.3% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.229 -0.23)66.67% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (-0.509 -0.51)15.2% (0.505 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17% (-0.965 -0.97)43.83% (0.96 0.96)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.26% (0.859 0.86)35.74% (-0.863 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.873 0.87)72.51% (-0.877 -0.88)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 57.35%
    Chelmsford City 20.33%
    Draw 22.3%
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.64% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 57.35%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.3%
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.184 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.42% (0.208 0.21)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.113 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.076 0.08)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 20.33%

Head to Head
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dorking WanderersDorking30167762392355
2Maidstone UnitedMaidstone301510546252155
3Worthing2816754435955
4Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne30151053728955
5Boreham WoodBoreham Wood28157650262452
6Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd291410542271552
7Truro CityTruro City29148740271350
8Weston-super-MareWeston3013984437748
9Hampton & RichmondHampton28128840291144
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels29111083734343
11Chesham UnitedChesham2810993941-239
12Chelmsford CityChelmsford City2991194440438
13Chippenham TownChippenham29115134039138
14Farnborough TownFarnborough28115123639-338
15Slough TownSlough3099124850-236
16Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.28105133849-1135
17AFC HornchurchHornchurch2789102830-233
18Salisbury28711103436-232
19Bath City2887132432-831
20Welling UnitedWelling United3093183456-2230
21Enfield Town2965182858-3023
22St Albans CitySt Albans City28312132743-1621
23Aveley2955193153-2220
24Weymouth30310172343-2019


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