National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hemps.1 - 1Worthing
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Worthing.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aveley 0-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, August 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-2 Worthing
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 54.3%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
23.78% ( 0.12) | 21.92% ( 0.12) | 54.3% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 60.75% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.72% ( -0.43) | 38.28% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.44% ( -0.45) | 60.56% ( 0.45) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% ( -0.14) | 29.24% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.8% ( -0.17) | 65.2% ( 0.17) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( -0.22) | 14.13% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.21% ( -0.43) | 41.79% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Hemel Hempstead Town 23.78%
Worthing 54.3%
Draw 21.92%
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
2-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.43% Total : 54.3% |
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-18 06:01:15
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
2 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 48 |
3 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 48 |
4 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 46 |
5 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 46 |
6 | Truro CityTruro City | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 46 |
7 | Worthing | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 43 |
8 | Weston-super-MareWeston | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 41 |
9 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 39 |
10 | Farnborough TownFarnborough | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 35 |
12 | Slough TownSlough | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 34 |
13 | Chesham UnitedChesham | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 33 |
14 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 32 |
15 | AFC HornchurchHornchurch | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 32 |
16 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 32 |
17 | Bath City | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 28 |
18 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps. | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 28 |
19 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 27 |
20 | Salisbury | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
21 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 18 |
22 | Enfield Town | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 18 |
23 | Aveley | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 17 |
24 | Weymouth | 25 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 15 |
> National League South Full Table |
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