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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
4 - 2
Weston

Dolaghan (9'), Spong (12'), Pearce (40'), Colbran (65')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Cane (4'), Colbran (21' og.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 2-4 Worthing
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Weston
Thursday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.82%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawWeston-super-Mare
48.82% (-1.257 -1.26) 21.88% (0.19 0.19) 29.29% (1.068 1.07)
Both teams to score 66.36% (0.11800000000001 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.78% (-0.185 -0.19)33.22% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.02% (-0.213 -0.21)54.97% (0.215 0.21)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.47399999999999 -0.47)14.12% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.24% (-0.936 -0.94)41.75% (0.937 0.94)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.27% (0.56100000000001 0.56)22.73% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.6% (0.822 0.82)56.4% (-0.821 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 48.82%
    Weston-super-Mare 29.29%
    Draw 21.88%
WorthingDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-2 @ 4.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 2.91% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.12 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.82%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.084 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.75% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 3.21% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.175 0.18)
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.141 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.33% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.101 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.072 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 29.29%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Weston
4-0
Worthing
Dodd (51'), Grubb (66' pen.), Bastin (86'), Reid (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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