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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Dover Athletic

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 1
Dover Athletic

Elliott-Wheeler (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Charles-Cook (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Hemel Hemps.
Thursday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Chelmsford City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDover Athletic
46.57% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 23.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.84% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.46% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.87% (0.025000000000006 0.03)41.12% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.51% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.08% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.28% (0.011999999999993 0.01)48.71% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.34% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.52% (0.025000000000006 0.03)61.47% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 46.57%
    Dover Athletic 29.84%
    Draw 23.58%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDover Athletic
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.34%
3-0 @ 4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 46.57%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.58%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.84%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Dover Athletic
2-2
Hemel Hemps.
Dembele (21'), Sutherland (80')
Williams (74'), Matthews (90+7' pen.)
T. (22')
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Dover Athletic
4-0
Hemel Hemps.
Goodman (16'), Higgs (42'), Carney (85'), Baptiste (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


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