Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Altrincham |
51.85% ( 0.4) | 22.37% ( -0.15) | 25.78% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 61.42% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.6% ( 0.48) | 38.4% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.31% ( 0.5) | 60.69% ( -0.5) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.02% ( 0.3) | 14.98% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.59% ( 0.57) | 43.41% ( -0.58) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.07) | 27.76% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.66% ( 0.09) | 63.33% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Altrincham |
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.06% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 25.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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