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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Southend United

Altrincham
1 - 0
Southend

Linney (80' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralph (47'), Taylor (49'), Miley (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 1-0 Southend United

Altrincham still have plenty to play for this season in the National League and the FA Trophy, so they will be highly motivated on Saturday to earn three points. Southend's playoff dreams are all but dead, and we cannot envisage them earning a first maximum of the month in Cheshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 41.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.73% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.6% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 33.95%
    Southend United 41.12%
    Draw 24.92%
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.12%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Altrincham
1-2
Southend
Mooney (68')
Murphy (1'), Dalby (34')
Demetriou (45'), Phillips (80'), Lopata (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet29186559302960
2Forest Green RoversForest Green281511246222456
3York City27166552252754
4Gateshead28147751361549
5Oldham AthleticOldham26129543291445
6Rochdale24133838211742
7AltrinchamAltrincham27119744321242
8Halifax TownHalifax2611963124742
9Solihull MoorsSolihull28125114540541
10Sutton UnitedSutton2811893936341
11Southend UnitedSouthend2810993330339
12Eastleigh2891183736138
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2891183334-138
14Yeovil TownYeovil29108113335-238
15Tamworth2697103143-1234
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red2688104036432
17Woking28710112939-1031
18Aldershot TownAldershot28612104248-630
19Braintree TownBraintree2886142738-1130
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2875163557-2226
21WealdstoneWealdstone26510113140-925
22Fylde2774163256-2425
23Boston UnitedBoston2647152444-2019
24Ebbsfleet2919192165-4412


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