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Aldershot Town
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Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
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Gateshead
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Southend United
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Boreham Wood
National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Park
Southend United

Boreham Wood
1 - 0
Southend

Brunt (74' pen.)
Marsh (63'), Sousa (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Husin (73'), Kensdale (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Boreham Wood and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League

We said: Boreham Wood 2-1 Southend United

Fresh off the back of ending their seven-game winless run in the league, Boreham Wood will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to get their promotion race back on track. The hosts take on a Southend United side who have suffered a drop-off in form and we predict that they will build on last week's victory over Oldham Athletic and secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boreham Wood in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boreham Wood.

Result
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
49.58% (6.098 6.1) 25.9% (-0.811 -0.81) 24.52% (-5.287 -5.29)
Both teams to score 48.7% (-1.459 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)54.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.93% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (2.855 2.86)22.05% (-2.855 -2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (4.14 4.14)55.38% (-4.141 -4.14)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-4.317 -4.32)37.52% (4.317 4.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-4.491 -4.49)74.3% (4.49 4.49)
Score Analysis
    Boreham Wood 49.57%
    Southend United 24.52%
    Draw 25.9%
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 12.5% (1.01 1.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (1.465 1.47)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.46 0.46)
3-0 @ 4.77% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.589 0.59)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.514 0.51)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.346 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.57%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.007 -1.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.977 -0.98)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-1.05 -1.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.604 -0.6)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.548 -0.55)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Boreham Wood vs Southend

Boreham Wood
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Southend United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Southend
0-1
Boreham Wood

(90+6')
Newton (28')
Ndlovu (33'), Newton (45')
Ndlovu (72'), Kelly-Evans (89')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Southend
1-0
Boreham Wood
Bridge (77')
Cardwell (54'), Dunne (57')

Mafuta (47'), Orsi (81'), Fyfield (90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Boreham Wood
1-0
Southend
Marsh (83')
Mafuta (28'), Fyfield (90+1')

Ogogo (64'), Ferguson (70')
Ogogo (64')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Boreham Wood
2-2
Southend
Boreham Wood win 4-3 on penalties
Fyfield (8'), Ricketts (51'), Tshimanga (93' pen.)
Ilesanmi (53'), Rhead (73'), Mafuta (76'), Ashmore (96'), Thomas (104')
Goodship (59'), Egbri (63'), Olayinka (100')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet31197560303064
2Forest Green RoversForest Green301711250232762
3York City29186557263160
4Oldham AthleticOldham29159547301754
5Gateshead29157755361952
6Halifax TownHalifax2913973627948
7AltrinchamAltrincham28129747331445
8Rochdale26134938221643
9Solihull MoorsSolihull30126124642442
10Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool30101283636042
11Sutton UnitedSutton29118104038241
12Southend UnitedSouthend29109103331239
13Yeovil TownYeovil30109113436-239
14Eastleigh2991193838038
15Tamworth29107123346-1337
16Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red2989124241133
17Woking29710122942-1331
18Braintree TownBraintree3087152942-1331
19Aldershot TownAldershot28612104248-630
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2985163657-2129
21Fylde2984173559-2428
22WealdstoneWealdstone29511133246-1426
23Boston UnitedBoston2748152444-2020
24Ebbsfleet31110202167-4613


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