Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 67.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for an Altrincham win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
67.81% ( 0.32) | 18.65% ( -0.27) | 13.54% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.2% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.92% ( 1.15) | 40.07% ( -1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.56% ( 1.18) | 62.44% ( -1.19) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.15% ( 0.4) | 10.85% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.05% ( 0.9) | 34.95% ( -0.9) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.55% ( 0.66) | 41.44% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% ( 0.58) | 77.95% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Altrincham |
2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 4.02% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.18% Total : 67.81% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.65% | 0-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 13.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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