Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.55%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.