Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
26.24% ( 0.25) | 22.03% ( -0.28) | 51.73% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.13% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 1.58) | 36.36% ( -1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( 1.71) | 58.49% ( -1.71) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.66% ( 1.02) | 26.34% ( -1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.52% ( 1.34) | 61.48% ( -1.34) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.71% ( 0.57) | 14.29% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.9% ( 1.1) | 42.1% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 3% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2% ( 0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 25 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 60 | -43 | 9 |
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