Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
47.57% (![]() | 25.08% (![]() | 27.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.62% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.67% (![]() | 49.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.62% (![]() | 71.38% (![]() |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% (![]() | 20.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% (![]() | 53.4% (![]() |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% (![]() | 32.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% (![]() | 68.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 10.55% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 11.91% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.58% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 64 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 62 |
3 | York City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 60 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Gateshead | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 36 | 19 | 52 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 48 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 46 |
8 | Rochdale | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 43 |
9 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 42 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 42 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 41 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
14 | Eastleigh | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 38 |
16 | Woking | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 33 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 29 |
21 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 20 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 31 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 13 |
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