Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 5.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 4-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Barnet win it was 1-2 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 7-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Barnet |
84.86% ( 0) | 9.75% ( -0) | 5.39% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.82% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.85% ( 0.01) | 22.15% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.9% ( 0.01) | 41.1% ( -0.01) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.39% ( 0) | 3.61% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.41% ( 0) | 15.59% ( -0) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.8% | 45.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.91% ( 0) | 81.09% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Barnet |
3-0 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.57% 5-0 @ 5.5% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( -0) 5-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% 6-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.42% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.73% 7-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 4.21% Total : 84.86% | 1-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.84% 0-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.98% Total : 9.75% | 1-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 5.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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