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Hartlepool United
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Notts County
National League | Gameweek 13
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Wrexham AFC

Notts County
1 - 0
Wrexham

Langstaff (13')
Slocombe (60'), Langstaff (70'), Brindley (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tozer (61'), Lee (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Notts County and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League

We said: Notts County 1-1 Wrexham

It is too difficult to split the two teams with them both in such good form and Notts County undefeated so far at Meadow Lane. As a result, we have this one as a draw, which would see Wrexham remain at the top of the National League table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match.

Result
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
44.07% (-2.792 -2.79) 26.05% (0.591 0.59) 29.88% (2.204 2.2)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-0.458 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (-1.246 -1.25)51.94% (1.248 1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.32% (-1.087 -1.09)73.68% (1.091 1.09)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-1.819 -1.82)23.46% (1.823 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-2.714 -2.71)57.47% (2.717 2.72)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (1 1)31.78% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (1.132 1.13)68.21% (-1.128 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 44.07%
    Wrexham 29.88%
    Draw 26.05%
Notts CountyDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.285 -0.29)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.388 -0.39)
3-0 @ 3.79% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.236 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.364 0.36)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.635 0.64)
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.349 0.35)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.487 0.49)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.203 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.045 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.231 0.23)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.88%

How you voted: Notts County vs Wrexham

Notts County
48.0%
Draw
16.0%
Wrexham
36.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Notts County
3-1
Wrexham
Wootton (10' pen., 39'), Richardson (67')
Cameron (17'), Smith (49'), Lacey (75')
Hall-Johnson (4')
Hosannah (21'), Tozer (68'), Hayden (68')
Lennon (9')
Aug 30, 2021 7.30pm
Wrexham
1-1
Notts County
Mullin (53')
Davies (65')
Wootton (44')
Francis (52'), O'Brien (55'), Roberts (64'), Rodrigues (85')
May 18, 2021 7pm
Apr 2, 2021 12.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green261410244212352
2York City24156348202851
3Barnet26156551302151
4Gateshead27146750351548
5Oldham AthleticOldham23128341231844
6Solihull MoorsSolihull2612594537841
7Rochdale22123734201439
8Halifax TownHalifax2510962924539
9AltrinchamAltrincham25108741301138
10Eastleigh2691163633338
11Yeovil TownYeovil28108103331238
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool259973130136
13Sutton UnitedSutton269893635135
14Southend UnitedSouthend258982927233
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red258894034632
16Tamworth2486102641-1530
17Woking2678112737-1029
18Aldershot TownAldershot26511103745-826
19WealdstoneWealdstone2459103037-724
20Braintree TownBraintree2666142538-1324
21Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2665153153-2223
22Fylde2464142950-2122
23Boston UnitedBoston2437142140-1916
24Ebbsfleet2718182063-4311


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