Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Albania had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
