MX23RW : Wednesday, April 30 22:25:31| >> :600:3121151:3121151:
Slovenia national football team
Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Slovakia national football team

Slovenia
1 - 0
Slovakia

Gnezda Cerin (95')
Gnezda Cerin (63'), Drkusic (88'), Janza (100'), Petrovic (101'), Kramer (118')
FT
(aet)

Duda (67'), (90'), Suslov (100'), Lobotka (112')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Slovenia 1-2 Slovakia (Slovakia win 2-1 on aggregate)

This is shaping up to be a fascinating battle, and we are expecting it to be close; it would not be a surprise to see this game go all the way to penalties, but we believe that Slovakia will be able to get the job done in extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
SloveniaDrawSlovakia
33.27% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 40.72% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)50.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)72.49% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)28.79% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.114 -0.11)64.64% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.99% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 33.27%
    Slovakia 40.73%
    Draw 25.99%
SloveniaDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.73%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Slovakia

Slovenia
40.8%
Draw
28.6%
Slovakia
30.6%
49
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Playoffs B/C 1st Leg
Slovakia
0-0
Slovenia
Petrovic (15')
Nov 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
2-2
Slovenia
Duda (58' pen.), Strelec (74')
Almasi (20'), Pekarik (30')
Zajc (18'), Mevlja (62')
Blazic (27'), Stojanovic (80')
Blazic (57')
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-1
Slovakia
Stojanovic (42')
Ilicic (66'), Gnezda Cerin (90+3')
Bozenik (32')
Schranz (73'), Duda (90+5')
Sep 1, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
1-0
Slovenia
Nemec (81')
Oct 8, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-0
Slovakia
Kronaveter (74')
rhs 2.0
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