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Newcastle logo
Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
St James' Park
Wolves logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Wolves

Lascelles (52')
Hayden (19'), Clark (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Neves (73')

Preview: Newcastle United vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Wolves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wolverhampton Wanderers will be aiming to continue their improved run of form when they travel north to take on Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday evening.

The Magpies lost 3-1 to Manchester United on Sunday evening, whereas Wolves' turnaround in fortunes continued with a 1-0 win over Leeds United.


Match preview

Newcastle United manager Steve Bruce pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Steve Bruce insisted that he was able to take "a lot of positives" from Newcastle's defeat at Old Trafford, and the manner of Newcastle's performance is a reasonable cause for optimism heading into the final couple of months of the campaign.

The Magpies started the game on the front foot against United and levelled through Allan Saint-Maximin's neat finish after Marcus Rashford's opener, but Man United soon came out all guns blazing in the second half and eventually marched to victory thanks to further goals from Daniel James and Bruno Fernandes.

Bruce's return to The Theatre of Dreams ended in disappointment, but Newcastle were not blown away by the Red Devils whatsoever, so they ought to be looking ahead to fixtures with Aston Villa, West Bromwich Albion and Brighton & Hove Albion feeling capable of picking up a respectable points haul.

However, an improved performance did not change the fact that Newcastle are languishing down in 17th place - three points clear of 18th-placed Fulham - and only two of Newcastle's last 14 Premier League games have seen the Magpies come out on top, including a 3-2 win over Southampton in their last home outing.

Should Bruce's men manage to prevail on their own turf this weekend, they would enjoy back-to-back league wins at St James' Park for the first time since December 2019, although the 21 goals they have already shipped on home soil is the joint-second worst in the league - level with Crystal Palace and only better than West Bromwich Albion's 32 goals conceded.

Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Nuno Espirito Santo pictured on February 7, 2021© Reuters

Wolves had a huge slice of luck to thank for their victory over Leeds last Friday, as Adama Traore's thunderous effort hit the woodwork before bouncing off the back of Whites goalkeeper Illan Meslier into the back of the net.

However, Nuno Espirito Santo will give no thought to the manner of a victory which saw Wolves rise to 12th in the rankings, and having taken 10 points from their last 12 on offer in the top flight, any fears of a relegation dogfight appear to have been quashed.

Santo's men are the only team outside the top five to have won at least three of their last four matches following previous victories over Southampton and Arsenal, so Wolves will be desperate to keep the momentum going before they face Manchester City, Villa and Liverpool next month.

The visitors have only lost once in their last five away outings in the Premier League, and even though just two of their last eight on the road have ended in victory for the West Midlands outfit, Wolves have not lost at St James' Park in the league since April 2011.

Those who are banking on clean sheets in this fixture ought to think again, as Newcastle and Wolves have never failed to score against one another in their 11 Premier League meetings, and the last four fixtures between the two clubs have ended in 1-1 draws.

Newcastle United Premier League form: LWLWLL

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form: DLWDWW
Wolverhampton Wanderers form (all competitions): LWDLWW



Team News

Newcastle United goalkeeper Martin Dubravka pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Karl Darlow has produced a string of stellar performances in the Newcastle goal this season, but he is reportedly set to be replaced by Martin Dubravka after his underwhelming showing at Old Trafford.

As well as long-term absentee Callum Wilson, Newcastle forward Joelinton was forced off against United with back trouble and may not make the cut this weekend.

Dwight Gayle or Andy Carroll could therefore be in contention to start this game, and Bruce also expects to have Federico Fernandez back in the fold for Saturday.

Wolves striker Raul Jimenez continues to make great strides in his recovery as he was pictured with the ball at his feet in training, but he still has a long road ahead of him.

Marcal was brought on as a substitute against Leeds but lasted a little over 20 minutes before succumbing to another muscular problem, so he is not expected to make the journey to St James' Park.

Daniel Podence and Willy Boly also remain sidelined for the visitors, who are expected to keep changes to a minimum amid their strong run of form.

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Krafth, Lascelles, Clark, Lewis; Hayden, Willock, Shelvey; Almiron, Gayle, Saint-Maximin

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Patricio; Dendoncker, Coady, Saiss; Semedo, Moutinho, Neves, Jonny; Traore, Jose, Neto


SM words green background

We say: Newcastle United 0-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Newcastle and Wolves have shared the spoils in eight of their 11 Premier League meetings, and supporters can expect another close affair this weekend, although both sides will certainly feel capable of winning. A fifth 1-1 draw in a row is certainly a possibility, but we think an improving Wolves outfit should do enough to eke out a vital win at the expense of their relegation-threatened opponents.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Newcastle vs Wolves

Newcastle United
25.3%
Draw
30.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
44.6%
83
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Wolverhampton Wanderers manager Nuno Espirito Santo pictured on February 7, 2021
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2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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