Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.