MX23RW : Sunday, July 21 09:48:06| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 30
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
1 - 3
Legia

Shkurin (39')
Getinger (3'), Kieres (4'), Esselink (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pesqueira (21' pen.), Kapustka (76'), Rosolek (90+4' pen.)
Pesqueira (68'), Kapustka (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Warta Poznan 5-2 Stal Mielec
Monday, April 22 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 0-0 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, April 21 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 24.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Stal MielecDrawLegia Warsaw
24.51% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 25.08% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 50.41% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (-0.112 -0.11)51.42% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)73.24% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.21% (-0.121 -0.12)35.79% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.43% (-0.123 -0.12)72.57% (0.125 0.13)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)20.41% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)52.84% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 24.51%
    Legia Warsaw 50.41%
    Draw 25.07%
Stal MielecDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.51%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 11.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.23% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.89% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 50.41%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Legia
1-3
Stal Mielec
Kramer (89')
Kapuadi (13'), Slisz (24'), Jedrzejczyk (58'), Kramer (86')
Shkurin (38'), Wolkowicz (50'), Hinokio (82')
Wolkowicz (10'), Shkurin (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pogon SzczecinSzczecin22006066
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia22004046
3Legia WarsawLegia22004046
4Radomiak Radom22004226
5Lechia GdanskGdansk20202202
6Slask Wroclaw20202202
7KS CracoviaCracovia00000000
8Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice00000000
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik00000000
10Stal Mielec00000000
11Widzew Lodz00000000
12Motor Lublin00000000
13Lech Poznan00000000
14Rakow CzestochowaRakow00000000
15Katowice200224-20
16Zaglebie Lubin200204-40
17Puszcza Niepolomice200204-40
18Korona Kielce200206-60


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