Liverpool U23s3 - 1Derby U23s
Cashin (58')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-23s win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 53.54% | 22.14% | 24.31% |
| Both teams to score 60.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% | 38.75% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.94% | 61.06% |
| Liverpool Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.46% | 14.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.42% | 42.57% |
| Derby County Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% | 29.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35% | 64.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% 1-0 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7.86% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.05% 3-2 @ 3.86% 4-1 @ 3.01% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.16% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 5.22% 0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.29% Total : 24.31% |
