West Ham U23s5 - 0Derby U23s
Bates (15'), Matthews (38'), Grewal-Pollard (85')
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, May 2 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester City Under-23s | 26 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham United Under-23s | 25 | 15 | 45 |
| 3 | Arsenal Under-23s | 26 | 8 | 41 |
Monday, May 9 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Leeds United Under-23s | 26 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Chelsea Under-23s | 25 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Derby County Under-23s | 24 | -20 | 15 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United Under-23s win with a probability of 69.05%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a Derby County Under-23s win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United Under-23s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 69.05% | 16.96% | 13.99% |
| Both teams to score 60.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.44% | 30.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.14% | 51.86% |
| West Ham United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.97% | 8.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.71% | 28.29% |
| Derby County Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% | 34.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.72% | 71.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United Under-23s | Draw | Derby County Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 7.89% 3-0 @ 7.42% 1-0 @ 7% 4-1 @ 4.97% 4-0 @ 4.68% 3-2 @ 4.19% 4-2 @ 2.64% 5-1 @ 2.51% 5-0 @ 2.36% 5-2 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 1.05% 6-0 @ 0.99% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.87% Total : 69.05% | 1-1 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 4.98% 0-0 @ 2.78% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.96% | 1-2 @ 3.95% 0-1 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-2 @ 1.57% 1-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.36% Total : 13.99% |
Rusa (45+2'), Appiah-Forson (63')
