Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-23s win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-23s had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fulham Under-23s would win this match.
