Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Stoke City Under-23s had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-23s would win this match.
