We said: Nottingham Forest 1-2 West Ham United
Despite last weekend's defeat, the City Ground will be full of enthusiasm for Forest's first home game of the season. Nevertheless, we expect West Ham to prove too good for their hosts, potentially netting a late winner after a closely-fought contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.