Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 3am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Atletico Nacional3 - 0Nacional
FT(HT: 1-0)
Recoba (59')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Nacional and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 0-3 Nacional
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 29 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-2 Juventud
Sunday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Nacional win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Nacional |
43.22% ( 1.34) | 27.53% ( 0.15) | 29.25% ( -1.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( -1.11) | 57.83% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.44% ( -0.88) | 78.56% ( 0.88) |
| Atletico Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.19) | 26.52% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.26) | 61.72% ( -0.26) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -1.71) | 35.35% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.88% ( -1.82) | 72.11% ( 1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Nacional 43.22%
Nacional 29.25%
Draw 27.52%
| Atletico Nacional | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.07% Total : 29.25% |
Head to Head
May 13, 2021 3am
Group Stage
Atletico Nacional
0-0
Nacional
Form Guide
