Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario0 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Universitario and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Universitario 0-0 Inter Miami (0-0 pen.)
Thursday, January 30 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Thursday, January 30 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Rosario
Sunday, March 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, March 30 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Universitario win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | River Plate |
34.67% ( -0.85) | 27.03% ( 0.16) | 38.3% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 50.7% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( -0.7) | 54.59% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.06% ( -0.58) | 75.93% ( 0.58) |
| Universitario Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.12% ( -0.88) | 29.88% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.02% ( -1.07) | 65.98% ( 1.07) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( 0.07) | 27.7% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.74% ( 0.09) | 63.25% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Universitario 34.67%
River Plate 38.29%
Draw 27.03%
| Universitario | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.39% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.97% Total : 38.29% |
Form Guide
