Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 3, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Cristal2 - 3Palmeiras
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and Palmeiras.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cristal 3-1 Always Ready
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, February 28 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Botafogo
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
0
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Palmeiras |
31.44% ( 1.27) | 25.33% ( 0.31) | 43.23% ( -1.57) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.78) | 48.26% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( -0.72) | 70.41% ( 0.72) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.47) | 28.84% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.3% ( 0.58) | 64.7% ( -0.57) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -1.05) | 22.27% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.28% ( -1.61) | 55.72% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Cristal 31.44%
Palmeiras 43.23%
Draw 25.32%
| Sporting Cristal | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.01% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.23% |
How you voted: Cristal vs Palmeiras
Sporting Cristal
13.3%Draw
13.3%Palmeiras
73.3%15
Form Guide
