Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.