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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Arouca
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Maritimo

Arouca
1 - 0
Maritimo

Mujica (34')
Basso (65'), Esgaio (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Val (42'), Xadas (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Arouca
Monday, April 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Maritimo 4-2 Boavista
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Arouca 2-1 Maritimo

 Following their win at Famalicao, Arouca will head into the weekend in sky-high spirits as they make a late push for a place in Europe. The Arouquenses have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, and while Maritimo will be looking to pick up from where they dropped off last Sunday, we are backing the hosts to pick up all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Arouca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arouca.

Result
AroucaDrawMaritimo
44.98% (-0.378 -0.38) 26.32% (0.168 0.17) 28.7% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.45% (-0.56 -0.56)53.55% (0.557 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.94% (-0.476 -0.48)75.06% (0.473 0.47)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.425 -0.42)23.72% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.613 -0.61)57.85% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.5% (-0.139 -0.14)33.5% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (-0.151 -0.15)70.13% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 44.98%
    Maritimo 28.7%
    Draw 26.31%
AroucaDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.98%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.172 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.157 0.16)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 28.7%

How you voted: Arouca vs Maritimo

Arouca
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Maritimo
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-1
Arouca
Vidigal (13')
Antony (44')
Soro (45')
Feb 14, 2022 8.15pm
Arouca
0-3
Maritimo

Ba (17'), Nunes (25')
Alipour (7', 79'), Joel (27')
Henrique (47'), Costa (51'), Alipour (80')
Henrique (56')
Sep 13, 2021 7pm
Maritimo
2-2
Arouca
Viana (35'), Alipour (45+11' pen.)
Vidigal (7'), Xadas (36'), Rossi (48'), Costa (90+1')
Vidigal (87')
Bukia (8'), Silva (82')
Miguel Pereira Da Silva (36'), Silva (45+3'), Filipe Alves Araujo (47'), Basso (61'), Kouassi (85'), Dabbagh (90+5')
Mar 19, 2017 4pm
Maritimo
3-1
Arouca
Zainadine (41'), Keita (62'), Fransergio (73')
Sami (20')
Jubal (80')
Oct 30, 2016 4pm
Arouca
1-0
Maritimo
Gonzalez (82')
Crivellaro (81'), Gonzalez (83')

China (44'), Patrick (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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