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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Boavista

Maritimo
4 - 2
Boavista

Vidigal (3', 50'), Correia (22'), Riascos (90+6')
Xadas (48'), Mosquera (80'), Costa (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Agra (59'), Lourenco (87')
Cannon (65'), Bozenik (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Maritimo
Sunday, March 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 1-2 Famalicao
Sunday, March 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 2-1 Boavista

While Maritimo have struggled for results, they will draw inspiration from their solid record against Boavista as they are unbeaten in their last seven league encounters between the sides. Petit's side have run out of steam in recent weeks and we are backing the hosts to scrap a narrow win on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Maritimo would win this match.

Result
MaritimoDrawBoavista
41.17% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 26.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 31.99% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.66% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)54.36% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03)75.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)61.03% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Boavista Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)31.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)67.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 41.16%
    Boavista 31.99%
    Draw 26.84%
MaritimoDrawBoavista
1-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 41.16%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.46% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Boavista

Maritimo
50.0%
Draw
7.1%
Boavista
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
Apr 16, 2022 6pm
Maritimo
4-0
Boavista
Costa (41'), Joel (45+3', 63' pen., 69')
Joel (21'), Costa (32'), Rossi (32'), Pelagio (55')

Perez (16'), Ferreira (45+1'), Musa (71'), De Santis (81'), Porozo (85')
Morais (72')
Dec 4, 2021 6pm
Boavista
1-1
Maritimo
Musa (5')
Musa (19'), Makouta (40'), Vukotic (42')
Makouta (76')
Henrique (90+5')
Costa (23'), Winck (23'), Junior (48'), Mendes (63'), Viana (78')
Junior (69')
Jul 25, 2021 6pm
Quarter-Finals
Maritimo
0-1
Boavista

Junior (29'), Pelagio (56')
Miguel Castelo Santos (41')
Sauer (33'), Mascarenhas Lemos Reymao Nogueira (58'), Hamache (89'), Perez (90+2')
Sauer (90+3')
Apr 25, 2021 3pm
Boavista
0-1
Maritimo

Cafumana (8'), Rami (56')
Alipour (63')
Joel (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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