Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 4-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
87.75% ( 0.14) | 8.69% ( -0.01) | 3.56% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 40.77% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.46% ( -0.82) | 27.54% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.83% ( -1.04) | 48.17% ( 1.04) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( -0.11) | 4.05% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.97% ( -0.36) | 17.03% ( 0.36) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.49% ( -1.3) | 57.51% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.67% ( -0.74) | 89.33% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
3-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 7-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.04% Total : 87.74% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 8.69% | 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 3.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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