Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia1 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Even though Vitoria will hope to snap their winless run of matches against Casa Pia this weekend, a share of the spoils could be in the offing in Saturday's encounter, with both sides choosing caution over offensive fluidity in Lisbon. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
21.36% ( 0.84) | 25.39% ( 0.26) | 53.25% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.62% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
