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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Guimaraes

Cassiano (39' pen.)
Pedro Goulart Silva (45'), Zolotic (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pedro Goulart Silva (49' og.)
Manuel Gomes Borges (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, September 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-3 Porto
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Casa Pia 0-0 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Even though Vitoria will hope to snap their winless run of matches against Casa Pia this weekend, a share of the spoils could be in the offing in Saturday's encounter, with both sides choosing caution over offensive fluidity in Lisbon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
21.36% (0.839 0.84) 25.39% (0.262 0.26) 53.25% (-1.099 -1.1)
Both teams to score 46.62% (0.379 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)55.5% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)76.68% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91% (0.836 0.84)41.09% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (0.735 0.73)77.63% (-0.73299999999999 -0.73)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)20.87% (0.485 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (-0.762 -0.76)53.56% (0.764 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 21.36%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.24%
    Draw 25.39%
Casa PiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.197 0.2)
2-1 @ 5.31% (0.178 0.18)
2-0 @ 3.39% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 1.58% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.24% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 13.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 10.52% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.5% (-0.231 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.15% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 53.24%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Guimaraes

Casa Pia
5.6%
Draw
27.8%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
66.7%
18
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 23
Guimaraes
0-2
Casa Pia

Andre (51')
Clayton (4'), Roberto (35')
Tchamba (49'), Neto (62'), Clayton (71')
Sep 23, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Casa Pia
0-0
Guimaraes
Larrazabal (57'), Fernandes (80'), Serobyan (90+4')
Mendes (36'), Silva (63')
Feb 19, 2023 8.30pm
Aug 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 4
Guimaraes
0-1
Casa Pia

Lameiras (41'), Varela (59'), Andre (86')
Kunimoto (7')
Zolotic (25'), Batista (55'), Brice Eteki (68')
Aug 1, 2021 6pm
Second Round
Casa Pia
0-1
Guimaraes

Neto (7'), Vaz Afonso Fernandes (14'), Vito (39')
Duarte (26')
Handel (6'), Soares (21'), Sacko (41'), Rochinha (52'), Borevkovic (61'), Fernandes (83')
Rochinha (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon19152253143947
2Benfica19132443142941
3Porto19132442152741
4Braga19114434191537
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2011272321235
6Casa Pia208662625130
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes207853025529
8Estoril PraiaEstoril207672431-727
9FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
10MoreirenseMoreirense196582226-423
11Rio AveRio Ave196582032-1223
12Gil Vicente205782330-722
13AroucaArouca2064101831-1322
14Nacional2054111728-1119
15AVS203981529-1418
16Estrela Amadora1945101630-1417
17SC FarenseFarense1936101225-1315
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112


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