Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Moreirense |
38.16% ( 0.02) | 28.92% ( 0.01) | 32.91% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.85% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.25% ( -0.04) | 61.75% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.45% ( -0.03) | 81.55% ( 0.03) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( -0.01) | 31.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( -0.01) | 67.63% ( 0.01) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% ( -0.04) | 34.74% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% ( -0.05) | 71.46% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 38.16% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.92% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
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