Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.05%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.57% (![]() | 25.38% (![]() | 46.05% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.54% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.15% (![]() | 49.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.16% (![]() | 71.84% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.34% (![]() | 31.66% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.92% (![]() | 68.08% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% (![]() | 21.65% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.23% (![]() | 54.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 7.88% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.74% ( ![]() Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.57% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 10.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |