Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 21, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 0-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, September 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Porto
While Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form, they have their work cut out against a stacked Porto side who have won 16 of their last 17 matches in all competitions. Bruno's men boast a solid away record in this fixture, and given the gulf in quality between the two teams, we are backing them to come away with all three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Porto had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
40.63% ( 1.38) | 27.44% ( 0.25) | 31.93% ( -1.64) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
