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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Arouca

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 1
Arouca

Gaitan (61')
Pires (11'), Antunes (28'), Ibrahim (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dabbagh (84')
Antony (74'), Esgaio (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, September 17 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes
Sunday, September 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Arouca

While Pacos de Ferreira have endured a horrid start to the campaign, we are backing them to take the positives from their performance against Santa Clara when they face an Arouca side who have suffered a slump in form. We are tipping the Pacenses to extend their dominance over the visitors and pick up their first win of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawArouca
40.33% (-0.559 -0.56) 28.1% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 31.58% (0.652 0.65)
Both teams to score 46.83% (0.463 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.86% (0.47499999999999 0.47)59.14% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.43% (0.366 0.37)79.58% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (-0.086999999999989 -0.09)28.72% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (-0.11 -0.11)64.55% (0.113 0.11)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (0.72799999999999 0.73)34.31% (-0.726 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29% (0.772 0.77)71.01% (-0.771 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 40.32%
    Arouca 31.58%
    Draw 28.1%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawArouca
1-0 @ 12.29% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.41% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 40.32%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.134 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 31.58%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Arouca

Pacos de Ferreira
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Arouca
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Arouca
0-1
Pacos de Ferreira

Bukia (49'), Galovic (64'), Pite (80'), Quaresma (89')
Gaitan (33')
Carlos (16'), Ferreira (59'), Djalo (67'), Ferreira (78'), Butzke (80')
Oct 24, 2021 3.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-0
Arouca

Santos (13'), Denilson (53'), Ferreira (56'), Antunes (68'), Delgado (88'), Ibrahim (90+7')
Santos (55')

Nunes (32'), Basso (90+6')
Apr 8, 2017 4pm
Nov 27, 2016 4pm
Arouca
1-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Jorginho (6')
Jubal (65'), Bracali (94')

Da Silva (24'), Baixinho (85')
Jan 31, 2016 4pm
Arouca
2-2
Pacos de Ferreira
Lima (66'), Cardoso (80' og.)
Lima (45'), Mateus (49'), Rodrigues (77'), Coelho (84')
Moreira (19'), Roniel (88')
Christian (8'), Martins (32'), Jota (43'), Defendi (63'), Pele (67'), Cardoso (82'), Roniel (89')
Andrezinho (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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