Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 16, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara1 - 2Arouca
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Santa Clara and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feirense 4-3 Santa Clara
Thursday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Taca da Liga
Thursday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Taca da Liga
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Arouca |
41.5% ( 0.05) | 26.52% ( 0.01) | 31.98% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
