MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 04:51:11| >> :120:23454:23454:
[monks data]
Scotland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Slovakia national football team

Scotland
1 - 0
Slovakia

Dykes (54')
Dykes (38'), Fleck (50'), Robertson (74'), McBurnie (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hamsik (21'), Haraslin (51'), Kucka (83')

Preview: Scotland vs. Slovakia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Scotland and Slovakia, including team news and predicted lineups.

Scotland and Slovakia will put their Euro 2020 qualifying hopes to one side on Sunday when they face off in a UEFA Nations League clash at Hampden Park.

Both sides progressed from their playoff semi-finals on Thursday to stay on course for next summer's European Championship finals.

All focus now switches to this Group B2 clash in Glasgow as Scotland look to tighten their grip on top spot against bottom side Slovakia.


Match preview

Scotland are now just one game away from qualifying for a major tournament for the first time since 1998 thanks to their penalty-shootout win over Israel.

Kenny McLean scored the decisive spot-kick to set up a one-off tie with Serbia - 2-1 winners over Norway in their semi-final - in Belgrade next month.

Steve Clarke will inevitably have one eye on that biggest game in a generation for Scotland, and he will want to carry some momentum into the contest.

Scotland have now gone six games without defeat, winning five of those, including a 2-1 victory over Czech Republic in their most recent Nations League match.

The Czechs had to field an entirely new squad after a coronavirus outbreak in their campaign, but Clarke's men made hard work of getting the job done in Olomouc.

Get the job done they did, though, to make it four points from their first two Group B2 matches, having also played out a 1-1 draw with Israel a few days beforehand.

Scotland's Andy Robertson and teammates celebrate overcoming Israel in their Euro 2020 qualification playoff on October 8, 2020© Reuters

Slovakia are bottom of the four-team group following a 3-1 loss to a full-strength Czech Republic and a 1-1 draw in Israel.

Pavel Hapal's men face relegation to League C as things stand, but they do at least remain on course for a place at Euro 2016 after beating Republic of Ireland in their playoff semi.

The hosts survived a few scares in the 120-minute contest before winning the penalty shootout, with Northern Ireland now standing between them and a place in the tournament finals.

Slovakia are without a win in normal time in six of their last seven matches, whereas Scotland are now unbeaten in four at home, winning three of those.

These nations have only met on two previous occasions, with those meetings coming in World Cup 2018 qualifying.

Scotland lost the away match 3-0 but were 1-0 winners at Hampden Park 12 months later through Martin Skrtel's own goal in the final minute of the game.

Scotland Nations League form: DW
Scotland form (all competitions): WWWDWW

Slovakia Nations League form: LD
Slovakia form (all competitions): DLWLDW


Team News

Stuart Armstrong pictured for Scotland on September 4, 2020© Reuters

Scotland were hit with a major blow ahead of the Israel match as Stuart Armstrong tested positive for coronavirus.

Not only did the Southampton midfielder have to self-isolate, so did Kieran Tierney and Ryan Christie after coming into close contact with him.

All three remain absent for the Nations League double-header with Slovakia and the Czech Republic.

Clarke stuck with his three-man backline against Israel and that is likely to remain the case on Sunday, though changes can be expected in terms of personnel.

Slovakia have also been hard hit by coronavirus cases, with Inter Milan defender Milan Skriniar having to pull out of the squad.

Like opposite number Clarke, Hapal is expected to bring in some fresh legs for this match at Hampden Park.

Robert Mak and Lukas Haraslin are among those in contention to return to the XI after finding themselves on the bench in midweek.

Scotland possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Porteous, Cooper, Gallagher; Patterson, McGregor, McTominay, Fraser; McGinn, Dykes, Shankland

Slovakia possible starting lineup:
Rodak; Pekarik, Vavro, Valjent, Mazan; Kucka, Hrosovsky, Hamsik; Mak, Duda, Haraslin


SM words green background

We say: Scotland 1-1 Slovakia

Scotland and Slovakia went the distance in their respective penalty-shootout victories over Israel and Republic of Ireland on Thursday.

The visitors have started their UEFA Nations League campaign slowly but we can see them picking up a point in Glasgow this weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scotland in this match.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Scotland and Slovakia?

Scotland
0.0%
Draw
100%
Slovakia
0.0%
2
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League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal541013
2 Croatia Croatia52127
3 Poland Poland51134
4 Scotland flag Scotland51134

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Italy Italy541013
Q France France531110
3 Belgium Belgium51134
4 Israel Israel50141

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany541013
Q Netherlands Netherlands52218
3 Hungary Hungary51225
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina50141

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain541013
2 Denmark Denmark52127
3 Serbia Serbia51225
4 Switzerland Switzerland50232

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic52218
2 Georgia Georgia52127
3 Albania national flag Albania52127
4 Ukraine Ukraine51225

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England540112
2 Greece Greece540112
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland52036
4 Finland Finland50050

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria531110
2 Norway Norway531110
3 Slovenia Slovenia52127
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan50141

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey532011
2 Wales flag Wales52309
3 Iceland Iceland52127
4 Montenegro Montenegro50050

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Sweden Sweden541013
2 Slovakia Slovakia531110
3 Estonia Estonia51134
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan50141

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania440012
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo43019
3 Cyprus Cyprus52036
4 Lithuania Lithuania50050

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland531110
2 Bulgaria Bulgaria52218
3 Belarus Belarus51316
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg50232

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Macedonia N. Macedonia541013
2 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands51316
3 Armenia Armenia51134
4 Latvia Latvia51134

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar41306
2 San Marino flag San Marino31114
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein30212

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Republic of Moldova Moldova43019
2 Malta flag Malta32016
3 Andorra flag Andorra30030


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