Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
37.17% ( 0.11) | 25.77% ( -0.06) | 37.07% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.05% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.86% ( 0.28) | 49.14% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.79% ( 0.25) | 71.21% ( -0.25) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% ( 0.19) | 25.78% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( 0.26) | 60.73% ( -0.25) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.17% ( 0.11) | 25.83% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.2% ( 0.14) | 60.8% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.17% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 11 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |